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Từ thứ 2 đến thứ 6
02/01/2019 14:39
Global trade is closely related, "survival" with logistics, but the ability to integrate, buy - sell, merge, technological advances and environmental policies will be the main drivers for the change this field in the near future.
Importers and exporters are increasingly tired of the reliability of shipping and declaring them unacceptable. Importers and exporters are getting tired of their transportation reliability and declare that they will not be able to. The importers and exporters are getting tired of their reliability of shipping and declaring them will not be able to. The shipping companies and import-export companies are getting tired of their transportation reliability and declare they will not be OK. Importers and exporters are increasingly tired of the reliability of shipping and declaring them unacceptable.
Impact trends
In 2018, international trade was quite active in the first 6 months, then began to be affected by trade war between major economies and protection trends. Logistics services cannot avoid such impacts.
In the first half of the year, the balance of economic growth in 2017 boosted trade, investment and logistics activities, especially in emerging economies. Subsequently, concerns about a rising import tax policy due to widespread trade conflicts in the second half of 2018 prompted shippers to finalize contracts and deliveries in the second quarter of 2018, leading to an increase. chiefs both in shipping and air transport.
Most shippers and logistics service partners in the surveys said that trade tension between the United States and large, typical trade partners such as China, the EU and geopolitical issues direct impact on global logistics activities, first of all transport and warehousing. Risks to the supply chain and logistics operations have differentiation between geographic regions in the world. In Asia and the Pacific, the leading risk is economic shocks due to trade protection; in Latin America is corruption; Middle East and North Africa are terrorist issues; Sub-Saharan regions, poor infrastructure are the biggest risks and obstacles to the development of logistics services.
Although factors affecting logistics vary between regions, but the general trend can be seen, cheap labor is no longer a major factor in ranking emerging logistics markets. Instead, experts and businesses, investors are more concerned with economic growth, foreign direct investment, trade volume, location, transport infrastructure and the extent of public application. technology to assess and decide investment in a country's logistics sector. The strength of technology for logistics competitiveness can be seen most clearly in the case of Germany. Germany always leads the logistics capacity index. In 2012, this position was replaced by Singapore - one of the bright points of logistics in Asia. In 2014, Germany returned to the top position in logistics capacity and maintained its position so far.
The world logistics market is also witnessing the development of integrated service packages to better serve the needs of both shippers and consumers; thereby, improving the efficiency of the supply chain. Due to the construction of logistics infrastructure implemented by the expansion of capital and rapid development of science and technology, enterprises tend to increase outsourcing of logistics services to reduce operating costs and invest.
The logistics service market will grow stronger in the coming time when service providers aim to use freight payment and automated auditing services to reduce costs. These suppliers are gaining a competitive advantage by reducing capital costs, reducing risks, managing inventory and focusing on the core competencies of the business. The emergence of Big Data and logistics services are specifically designed for specific industries, which is expected to be the main factor promoting the industry's growth. Efforts to strengthen internal control and the entire flow cycle have boosted the 3PL service of intermediaries. Complexity and optimization requirements in supply chain management promote higher integration services of 4PL and 5PL. This market is expected to grow strongly in the next 5 years ...
Pressure creates motivation
Services of integration, buying - selling, merging, technological advances and climate change adaptation policies are the main drivers for change in the global transport sector. Transportation costs account for about 60% of logistics costs. Thanks to its flexibility, easy access, reliability and "door-to-door" service, road transport accounts for 44.6% of transport revenue. But in terms of volume, waterways account for the leading proportion with about 47-48% of the global market share.
According to the statistics of the Global Transport Forum, global container shipping grew by 4.8% in 2017, air transport increased by 9% - much higher than the 3.8% increase of the year. 2016. Rail transport also grew well, typically Russia rose 6.4%, United States 5.3%, EU increased 3.5%. Transport by road continues to expand in the EU with an increase of 3.5%; Russia's recovery rate slowed, increasing only 2.1% as the EU continued to extend trade sanctions with this country.
The report of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) shows that global maritime trade grew 4% in 2017, the highest level in the last 5 years, reaching 10.7 billion tons of goods. chemistry, an increase of 411 million tons compared to 2016. Shipping volume increased in most segments, paving the way for growth in the first half of 2018, before the trade war between major economies disrupted some traditional goods supply chains. UNCTAD forecasts, the average annual growth rate of 3.8% in total volume to 2023. The increase in revenue is mainly due to freight rates, but the overall supply capacity will also be improved thanks to integration between links in the chain.
On the supply side, after 5 years of decline, 2017 witnessed the increase in the number of ships. Total global shipping capacity increased by 42 million tons, equivalent to an increase of 3.3%. In the shipping value chain, Germany currently maintains its first position with 20% market share in early 2018. Some countries with increased market shares include: Greece, China, Canada. In 2018, the Marshall Islands took second place in the number of ships with their nationality, after Panama and third in Liberia.
The shipping industry has been strengthened through global mergers, acquisitions and restructuring. As of January 2018, the top 15 shipping lines accounted for 70.3% of total capacity. The market share of these firms increased thanks to the completion of integration of new mergers in 2018, with the 10 largest shipping lines controlling nearly 70% of the world's fleet capacity as of June 2018.
Science - technology creates a strong push for the logistics industry in general and maritime in particular. Productivity has increased dramatically thanks to the application of science and technology, global port operations and rapid cargo handling in recent years. UNCTAD estimates that 752 million shipping units have been rotated at container ports around the world in 2017. Along with the introduction and operation of larger and larger cargo ships as well as the formation of of transport alliances, transport alliances - ports, maritime infrastructure is also forced to change to accommodate new demands ...
According to the survey and forecast of the Panteia Research Institute (Netherlands), the world's total cargo transport may increase 3.3% in 2018, then slow down in 2019 with an increase of 2.3%. Forecasting is based on an assessment of the countries' economic growth, import tariffs of countries, oil prices and many other influencing factors, including political, social and self-sufficiency issues. Of course.